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Chinese policy crosses the Rubicon. What now?
A decisive policy pivot finally got markets excited again about China. But growth will only materialise if policymakers follow through with fiscal firepower.
Q4 Asia Investment Outlook: Go with the east wind
A dip in US growth will have an impact on Asia, but the slowdown will also provide room for the region’s policymakers to cut interest rates.
Q4 Investment Outlook: Risks balanced
We’re seeing a rotation, not a sell-off.
Chart Room: Where the real yields are
Elevated real yields in parts of EMs offer more compelling fixed income opportunities than DMs - even as interest rates stay ‘higher for longer’ in the US.
Chart Room: Bearish German data bullish for Bunds
Inflation dynamics and threats to growth are making a compelling case for German Bunds.
Proxy plays on China’s consumer rebound are all the rage in Paris
Luxury companies have been among the biggest beneficiaries of China’s bounce and are delivering investors exposure without putting money in Chinese companies.
Chart Room: Earnings, not valuations, will carry China’s rebounding markets forward
Improving corporate earnings are likely to take over from cheap valuations as the main driver in the next stage of the Chinese stock market's rebound.
Chart Room: The energy rally could run out of steam
Oil and natural gas prices could start to moderate as the outlook for demand weakens and supply looks set to increase.
Chart Room: An inflection point for Chinese equities?
There may be pressure on valuations as international investors adopt a wait-and-see approach, but the long-term outlook continues to be positive.
Chart Room: Bond markets tempt FAIT amid prospects for a steeper US yield curve
The market sees risks that the Fed will not accommodate a large inflation overshoot, but we think the yield curve may have flattened too far.
Chart Room: What Japan’s digital transformation means for markets
After years as relative laggards, Japanese companies are diving headfirst into DX, or digital transformation, and investors should take notice.
Chart Room: Stronger for longer for China’s renminbi?
Expectations for further renminbi appreciation have risen, but we think short-term gains could be capped from here.
Chart Room: China’s EV industry is charged for growth
The combination of falling battery costs and rising adoption rates means China's EV industry is charged for growth.
Chart Room: An uneven supercycle for commodities?
Most commodity prices have been strong this year, spurring talk of a potential supercycle. But the returns could be more dispersed from here.
Chart Room: The rapid rise of digital payments in India
The technological transformation of India’s economy has accelerated in recent years, as can clearly be seen in the accelerating shift to digital transactions.
Chart Room: Why dividends make sense in an inflationary environment
History shows how dividend-focused investment strategies can provide sustainable income in a reflationary environment.
Chart Room: China has fewer reasons to be hawkish
China's short-end rates remain low despite earlier expectations for monetary tightening.
Why India’s ‘fallen angel’ risk is rising
India’s ballooning debt levels amid a structural growth slowdown have raised the risks of an imminent downgrade by credit ratings agencies.
Chart Room: Equity volatility eases as Treasury yields rise
The VIX has fallen below a key technical level, suggesting a new wave of investor optimism.
Chart Room: EM outperformance could be sustained, if commodities are a guide
This week’s Chart Room shows the historical correlation of EM equities with commodities, which suggests that the breakout could be sustained.
Chart Room: Retail investors pile into the fastest growing stocks
Retail investors' market participation is extreme not only in volume, but also concentration.
Chart Room: The return of the value super-cycle?
In this week’s Chart Room, we look at both sides of the long-standing debate between value and growth investment styles, as seen from both Europe and China.
Chart Room: After the Gold Rush
Is it time to take profits in gold?
Chart Room: A liquidity tide for the record books
2020 brought us new high-water marks in the US for both money supply growth and the personal savings rate.
Chart Room: Chinese stocks, playing catchup, finally retrace 2015 highs
But the rally in China’s main onshore index still lags its US and global counterparts.
Chart Room: Weakening dollar gives emerging markets a shot in the arm
Emerging markets may be helped further along by the weaker outlook for the US dollar.
Chart Room: Why growth still has room to grow in China equities
The valuation premium for China growth stocks versus value stocks hit a new all-time high, lifted by the consumer, tech and healthcare sectors.
Chart room: European cyclicals vulnerable if manufacturing data moderates
Any moderation in the growth of new manufacturing orders could make cyclicals vulnerable to a de-rating.
EM outlook: Easier conditions, tougher growth
After a challenging end to last year, the start of 2019 has brought some tentative stability to emerging markets. But it is too early to issue the all-clear.
A troubled marriage to tech
Investors are married to the tech story whether they like it or not
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