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Chart Room: Is disinflation lurking around the corner?
In a bullish signal, the bond market’s short-term expectations for US inflation are back near pre-crisis levels. But are investors being overly optimistic?
Global GEARs whisper stabilisation
Our global proprietary Gauges of Economic Activity in Real-Time (GEARs) are starting to appear convincing in their stabilisation.
FLI: Another solid month indicates that global recession fears are overblown
Our Fidelity Leading Indicator boosts hopes that the worst is firmly behind us, and that the next move in global growth will be to the upside.
Grit in the GEARs, but global economy not grinding to a halt
Some grit in the GEARs persists, especially in Europe and some emerging markets, but the global economy has yet to grind to a halt.
GEARs: Lower for (how much) longer?
Our GEARs have slipped back, reversing the improvement seen in the second quarter.
Fidelity Leading Indicator: Clinging to optimism
Our FLI cycle tracker indicates the global economy is past the worst
US-China trade wars: What to expect from the G20
US President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping are expected to hold an informal meeting at the G20 Summit in Osaka, Japan on June 28-29.
Central bank fears, calmer GEARs?
Our proprietary Gauges of Economic Activity in Real-Time (GEARs) show the latest Global GEAR looks stable and decently above its recent lows.
Fidelity Leading Indicator: Stronger data indicate a recovery
Improvement in global growth has been reassuringly broad-based
Downshifting GEARs as global rebound softens
Downshifting GEARs as global rebound softens
Fidelity Leading Indicator: Green shoots versus trade war shots
Fidelity Leading Indicator: Green shoots versus trade war shots
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