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Chart Room: Fidelity Leading Indicator points to contraction
After a summer slowdown, the latest Fidelity Leading Indicator is forecasting a tougher winter.
Fidelity Leading Indicator signals broad-based recovery
Four out of five FLI sectors are experiencing both growth and acceleration, with only Consumer and Labour lagging.
Fidelity Leading Indicator points to weak recovery
Business sentiment and trade are improving, among signals of a fragile recovery, but consumer confidence and industrial orders lag.
The Fidelity Leading Indicator finds a floor
The FLI now points to a quarterly contraction about 125 per cent of the magnitude of that seen in the depth of the GFC.
FLI takes another leg down despite lockdowns easing
The FLI now points to a quarterly contraction about 125 per cent of the magnitude of that seen in the depth of the GFC.
Fidelity Leading Indicator shows broad weakness as the focus turns to recovery
The three-month Fidelity Leading Indicator growth rate is already halfway to the Global Financial Crisis trough.
Macro briefing: Clock ticking on further fiscal support
Macro briefing: Clock ticking on further fiscal support
FLI: Consumer pain leads the way
The three-month Fidelity Leading Indicator growth rate is already halfway to the Global Financial Crisis trough.
FLI: Consumer confidence holds up amid broad-based slowdown
For the first time in two years the Fidelity Leading Indicator cycle tracker signals both below-trend growth and deceleration.
Fidelity Leading Indicator signals slowing global growth as coronavirus impact looms
The economic impact of the novel coronavirus outbreak is only just beginning to be captured by the latest FLI reading.
Fidelity Leading Indicator: Marginal cooling but still positive
The global economy is still expected to grow into 2020, but at a subdued pace
FLI: Surprisingly upbeat into Q4
The Fidelity Leading Indicator (FLI) showed firm improvement in September
FLI: Another solid month indicates that global recession fears are overblown
Our Fidelity Leading Indicator boosts hopes that the worst is firmly behind us, and that the next move in global growth will be to the upside.
FLI: An 'uneasy' economic stabilisation ahead
The FLI suggests that even with the impending tariff escalation, we are far from a global recession
GEARs: Lower for (how much) longer?
Our GEARs have slipped back, reversing the improvement seen in the second quarter.
Fidelity Leading Indicator: Clinging to optimism
Our FLI cycle tracker indicates the global economy is past the worst
Fidelity Leading Indicator: Stronger data indicate a recovery
Improvement in global growth has been reassuringly broad-based
Fidelity Leading Indicator: Red lights, not green shoots
Signs of more dovish central banks may have got markets more excited, but our FLI has not moved.
Fidelity Leading Indicator: deeper drop, with no sector spared
The FLI Cycle Tracker plunged deeper into the bottom-left quadrant indicating growth below-trend and decelerating
Fidelity Leading Indicator: FLIrting with disaster?
Perhaps ‘disaster’ is too strong a word to describe January’s Fidelity Leading Indicator (FLI) reading, but it is the worst result since 2012.
Fidelity Leading Indicator: Deceleration after frontloading on US tariff worries
Our proprietary Fidelity Leading Indicator (FLI) now shows a deceleration trend, in contrast with the tentative stabilisation we had seen previously.
Fidelity Leading Indicator: Qualified optimism or qualified pessimism
Our proprietary Fidelity Leading Indicator (FLI) is edging up towards the ‘top-left’ quadrant, which suggests that a trough could be approaching.
Fidelity Leading Indicator: growth down, risks rising
Our proprietary Fidelity Leading Indicator (FLI) remains in the ‘growth negative and decelerating’ quadrant of its Cycle Tracker for the fourth straight month.
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