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Claire Xiao

Claire Xiao - Senior Credit Analyst

Article 1 min read

Chart Room: Why Chinese investors love ultra-long bonds

Chinese investors are hoping to lock in higher yields as the market ramps up bets that the PBoC will cut interest rates to support the economic recovery.

Alvin Cheng + 2 others | 22 March 2024

Article 5 min read

How China keeps its debt in order

What is the fiscal firepower of the Chinese government? Depends on how much debt you think China really has. Our analysis is revealing.

Claire Xiao + 3 others | 25 January 2024

Article 2 min read

Chart Room: Watching for cracks amid pressure on China’s local government finances

Some of China’s local government financing vehicles are struggling to service their debts, but not all LGFVs are created equal.

Vanessa Chan + 2 others | 24 August 2023

Podcast 44 min listen

The Investor's Guide to China podcast: Debt

With debt continuing to be a very strong focus for investors, it’s important to differentiate between good debt and bad debt.

Catherine Yeung + 8 others | 21 March 2022

Blog 3 min read

China walks a familiar tightrope as it targets recovery

While most other major economies are moving to tighten, the construction-fueled stimulus that Beijing has sought to avoid is suddenly back on the cards.

Claire Xiao + 2 others | 4 February 2022

Article 2 min read

China cuts rates despite solid GDP report

As China's cycle increasingly diverges from the West, the latest set of policy easing measures speaks to economic headwinds but also signals more stimulus.

Claire Xiao + 4 others | 17 January 2022

Blog 2 min read

Chart Room: China has fewer reasons to be hawkish

China's short-end rates remain low despite earlier expectations for monetary tightening.

George Efstathopoulos + 3 others | 22 April 2021

Article 2 min read

Chart Room: China government bond yields catch their breath

Chart Room: China government bond yields catch their breath

George Efstathopoulos + 1 other | 17 December 2020

Blog 3 min read

China bond defaults signal a coming of age as state safety net shrinks

Bond defaults by state-owned enterprises have rattled China’s onshore credit markets. We see this as an important if painful step in curtailing moral hazard.

Alvin Cheng + 1 other | 24 November 2020

Blog 4 min read

Chinese banks are due for national service

As governments around the world exhaust their policy arsenals to save economies, China is reaching for a secret weapon unrivaled by most countries.

Monica Li + 2 others | 31 July 2020

Blog 3 min read

China tiptoes down easing street with rate reform

While the Fed and ECB are signaling more rate cuts and quantitative easing to come, China’s central bank has been taking a more cautious approach.

Alvin Cheng + 2 others | 2 October 2019

Article 4 min read

No pain, no gain: Chinese defaults are rising and recovery rates are falling

Part of a white paper offering in-depth research on defaults in China - why they are happening and what investors should do about it.

Alvin Cheng + 4 others | 16 September 2019

Blog 3 min read

Is seven an unlucky number for China’s currency?

China’s renminbi weakened past the seven per US dollar mark for the first time in more than ten years.

Bryan Collins + 4 others | 5 August 2019

Blog 3 min read

In Baoshang Bank takeover, China takes aim at moral hazard

The recent move by regulators in China to take over Baoshang Bank marks a significant event in the development and liberalisation of China’s capital markets.

Alvin Cheng + 1 other | 5 June 2019

Blog 3 min read

A Goldilocks moment for China’s monetary policy, but watch for more easing and bond index inclusion

Two events are driving the outlook for China fixed income- easing monetary conditions and the expected inclusion of Chinese bonds in benchmark indexes.

Bryan Collins + 4 others | 14 March 2019

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