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Max Stainton
Article 3 min read

ECB will cut soon, but US divergence can’t be ignored

The European Central Bank is now on course to cut interest rates before the Federal Reserve, but sooner or later it will be captive to events in the US

Max Stainton + 1 other | 11 April 2024

Fidelity International Global Macro & Asset Allocation Team
Article 2 min read

ECB in no rush to cut

While the odds on a soft landing for the developed world are rising, European growth is sluggish and we think the ECB will soon be under pressure to cut rates

Max Stainton
Article 3 min read

Fed deals its cards early on rates

Fed deals its cards early on rates

Max Stainton + 1 other | 19 December 2023

Paul Greer
Article 1 min read

Emerging markets give clues to Fed rate cut timing

Want to know when the Fed or ECB will start cutting interest rates? You could do worse than look at their emerging markets counterparts.

Paul Greer + 1 other | 8 December 2023

Fidelity International Global Macro & Asset Allocation Team
Article 5 min read

No holidays for central banks: Where we think there’s more to come

A busy month for central banks delivered expected hikes in Europe and the US, but a surprise tweak to policy in Japan.

Salman Ahmed
Article 3 min read

Central banks fighting yesterday’s battles as credit crunch looms

Central banks fighting yesterday’s battles as credit crunch looms

Salman Ahmed + 1 other | 4 May 2023

Anna Stupnytska
Article 2 min read

A hawkish ECB stays the course despite market turmoil

The ECB stuck to its 50 basis point hike despite financial stability concerns. Tightening credit could hit the real economy earlier, and harder, than expected.

Anna Stupnytska | 16 March 2023

Max Stainton
Article 3 min read

ECB still hiking but markets are focusing on the end point

President Lagarde tries to deliver another hawkish shock, but markets sense we are near the end of the hiking cycle for the ECB.

Max Stainton | 2 February 2023

Anna Stupnytska
Article 3 min read

ECB rates stance raises risks of financial instability for 2023

If the ECB matches its hawkish rhetoric with policy action, concerns about the bloc's periphery may return, adding to concerns for investors next year.

Anna Stupnytska | 16 December 2022

Fidelity International Global Macro & Asset Allocation Team
Article 2 min read

ECB doves back in charge despite jumbo hike

The European Central Bank's 75 basis point hike in October may be its last jumbo move as the threat of recession looms large over the euro area.

Richard Edgar
Podcast 20 min listen

CIO podcast: Frustrations at the Fed and what the winter might hold

Fidelity International's Chief Investment Officer Andrew McCaffery speaks to Richard Edgar about the recent market turmoil.

Richard Edgar + 2 others | 20 September 2022

Fidelity International Global Macro & Asset Allocation Team
Article 2 min read

ECB hawks rule, for now

While guidance remains hawkish on further interest rate hikes into 2023, implementing such a path will be hard in practice.

Ario Emami Nejad
Blog 2 min read

Chart Room: Interest rates won’t fix the euro’s problems this time

Chart Room: Interest rates won’t fix the euro’s problems this time

Ario Emami Nejad | 7 September 2022

Fidelity International Global Macro & Asset Allocation Team
Article 2 min read

ECB: Too much too soon could be a riskier strategy

The European Central Bank lays out its tightening path.

Fidelity International Global Macro & Asset Allocation Team
Article 2 min read

ECB faces huge dilemma as Russian invasion of Ukraine unfolds

The ECB’s accelerated reduction in asset purchases came as a surprise. There may be more changes to come.

Fidelity International Global Macro & Asset Allocation Team
Blog 2 min read

Chart Room: Fingers in the punch bowl

Central bankers seeking to deploy rate hikes against inflation risk collateral damage as tighter policy threatens already swollen debt servicing costs.

Fidelity International Global Macro & Asset Allocation Team
Blog 3 min read

ECB joins the hawkish bandwagon

Hawkish pivot gives the Governing Council more policy flexibility.

Anna Stupnytska
Blog 1 min read

ECB signals further stimulus as double dip recession chances spike

Despite taking no action at the October meeting, the European Central Bank (ECB) laid the groundwork for further easing at its next meeting in December.

Anna Stupnytska | 29 October 2020

Andrea Iannelli
Article 3 min read

European Central Bank: Goodbye Mario, good luck Christine

ECB leaves rates unchanged at Draghi's final meeting.

Andrea Iannelli | 24 October 2019

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